INDUSTRIAL METALS / MINERALS

BEYOND THE HEADLINES

Latest fertilizer deal a peaceful, $4.1bn affair

Yara's friendly USD 4.1bn takeover of Terra intensifies the ongoing consolidation of the global fertiliser sector.

Author: Barry Sergeant
Posted:  Monday , 15 Feb 2010

JOHANNESBURG - 

Sioux City based Terra Industries has accepted a USD 4.1bn cash offer from Norway's Yara, in the latest round of consolidation in the increasingly active global fertiliser sector.

Yara already ranked as fourth largest fertiliser company in the world, after PotashCorp, Mosaic, and unlisted Belaruskali. The Yara deal with Terra, however, moves Yara further away from what can be considered the optimum production mix between potash, phosphate and nitrogen. Yara is heavily weighted to nitrogen, and the latest deal will only reinforce that.

The past few weeks have seen the world's biggest diversified resources stock, BHP Billiton, in a USD 320m cash bid for Athabasca Potash, highlighting the growing intensity around potential consolidation in the global fertiliser industry.

There are hundreds of phosphate mines around the world, but only a handful of potash miners, of which all but one, Belaruskali, are listed. Also on the fertiliser hunt is Vale, the world's No 2 miner, by value, after BHP Billiton, which recently announced an all-cash USD 3.8bn bid for 100% of BPI, a division of Bunge, which owns phosphate rock mines and phosphates assets in Brazil, and a 54% stake in Brazil's Fosfertil.

Vale has long ranked as Brazil's sole potash miner, at Rosario do Catete. In early 2009 Vale bought Rio Tinto's potash assets in Argentina and Canada, for USD 850m. For its part, BHP Billiton in May 2008 bought for USD 282m Anglo Potash, which held 25% of a Canadian joint venture company, in which BHP Billiton already held the other 75%. The Jensen project is adjacent to the Burr Project, now under acquisition from Athabasca Potash.

Today's deal is peaceful. Just a year ago, Terra voiced an out-of-hand rejection of an unsolicited bid from CF Industries, a nitrogen-maker and phosphate miner, and, at the same time, CF Industries found itself on the receiving end of an unsolicited bid from Agrium.

Meanwhile, Canada's PotashCorp remains the king of the global fertiliser sector. Beyond its substantial operations, it holds substantial stakes in Sociedad Química, and Arab Potash, and handy stakes in ICL and Sinofert, an increasingly important distributor.

 

Selected potash & related stocks

 

Potash producers

 

 

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

PotashCorp

CAD 117.90

-12.7%

41.9%

33.223

Mosaic

USD 58.83

-13.8%

68.9%

26.189

Uralkali

USD 22.69

-15.9%

315.6%

9.640

ICL

USD 12.40

-15.9%

72.2%

15.701

K+S

EUR 43.70

-18.0%

52.0%

11.366

Agrium

USD 64.26

-9.6%

117.2%

10.104

Silvinit

USD 790.00

-1.3%

216.0%

6.183

Qinghai

CNY 54.93

-17.7%

16.8%

6.170

Arab Potash

JOD 35.90

-27.1%

23.8%

4.224

Intrepid Potash

USD 27.12

-21.5%

93.9%

2.035

Sociedad Química

USD 37.22

-15.3%

64.6%

9.796

Compass Minerals

USD 72.36

-2.2%

58.5%

2.359

Averages/total

 

-14.3%

95.1%

136.990

Weighted averages

 

-14.2%

67.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Selected agromineral players

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

Acron

USD 32.00

-8.6%

146.2%

1.526

Apatit

USD 326.00

0.0%

323.4%

2.033

Sinofert

HKD 4.40

-23.1%

42.9%

3.973

Incitec Pivot

AUD 3.44

-10.2%

81.5%

4.962

Omnia

ZAR 60.00

-9.1%

58.8%

0.361

Jiangsu Chengxing

CNY 9.91

-10.3%

62.5%

5.731

Athabasca Potash

CAD 8.30

-0.5%

418.8%

0.299

Western Potash

CAD 0.48

-43.5%

111.1%

0.047

Hanfeng Evergreen

CAD 7.08

-13.0%

39.1%

0.416

Potash One

CAD 3.11

-19.6%

137.4%

0.238

Spur Ventures

CAD 0.32

-14.7%

77.8%

0.018

Terra Industries

USD 33.25

-9.2%

78.8%

3.319

CF Industries

USD 100.50

-2.3%

102.2%

4.880

Anhui Liuguo

CNY 12.50

-18.9%

58.2%

2.508

Gujarat State Fert.

INR 216.35

-15.2%

200.3%

0.373

Mangalore Chemicals

INR 23.70

-16.1%

130.1%

0.061

Fosfertil

BRL 18.38

-19.7%

43.0%

2.757

Egyptian Fin & Ind

EGP 25.26

-9.7%

71.3%

0.329

EID Parry India

INR 338.30

-19.3%

191.8%

0.630

Yara

NOK 226.60

-20.1%

67.2%

11.139

Magindustries

CAD 0.42

-46.2%

154.5%

0.144

Migao

CAD 7.30

-18.9%

46.9%

0.362

Phoscan

CAD 0.39

-28.7%

63.8%

0.063

Americas Petrogas

CAD 0.75

-2.6%

435.7%

0.073

Bunge

USD 58.66

-20.8%

38.5%

7.865

Arafura Resources

AUD 0.81

-37.4%

228.6%

0.185

Activex

AUD 0.09

-28.3%

168.8%

0.006

Minemakers

AUD 0.46

-44.6%

27.8%

0.092

CI Resources

AUD 0.88

-16.2%

25.7%

0.057

Phosphate Australia

AUD 0.25

-37.5%

25.0%

0.024

Orocobre

AUD 1.79

-24.5%

699.1%

0.127

Encanto Potash

CAD 0.25

-29.0%

63.3%

0.033

Averages/total

 

-19.3%

138.1%

54.630

Weighted averages

 

-15.6%

70.1%

 

* 12 month

 

 

 

 

Source: market data; table compiled by Barry Sergeant

 

 

 

 

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