GOLD NEWS

COPPER, GOLD, GOING FOR NICKEL

First Quantum raises the bar

Record copper and gold production, as the group continues to expand, also outside Africa, and into serious nickel production from 2012.

Author: Barry Sergeant
Posted:  Tuesday , 16 Mar 2010

JOHANNESBURG - 

First Quantum, the African copper-gold miner, now expanding into nickel beyond the continent, reported a sharp turnaround in its fortunes for 2009, bar the debacle at Kolwezi tailings in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which appears to have turned into a farce of international proportions.

Jungle tragedy and comedy aside, First Quantum produced 374,000 tonnes of copper in 2009, and is anticipating 385,000 tonnes this year. Gold production for 2009 was 193,000 ounces, with 240,000 ounces anticipated this year.

First Quantum's group copper production has grown from 29,500 tonnes in 2003, all from Bwana (Zambia) and Lonshi (just across the border in the DRC). Group gold production started out at a modest 14,300 ounces in 2005. The group owns and operates 80% of the Kansanshi copper-gold mine in Zambia ("a foundation asset"), 95% of Frontier in the DRC, and 80% of the Guelb Moghrein gold-copper mine in Mauritania.

First Quantum is expanding in Africa, and also moving offshore. On 23 November 2009, First Quantum announced it would acquire London-listed Kiwara for USD 260m, mainly for its controlling interest in mineral prospecting licence 267, covering 2,850 km² on the periphery of the Kabombo Dome in Zambia.

On 30 November, First Quantum announced the go ahead for its Kevitsa, Finland project, with a capital cost of USD 400m and first production anticipated for 2012. The mine will produce a cocktail of concentrates, with metals that include copper and gold, led by nickel.

On 8 December First Quantum announced the USD 340m acquisition of Ravensthorpe, Australia from BHP Billiton. Ravensthorpe, approved in March 2004, was built at a cost of USD 2.1bn but operations were suspended in January 2009, following the precipitous decline in nickel prices, long among the most volatile of any commodity. From highs close to USD 25.00/lb in 2007, nickel fell to nearly USD 4.00/lb, and has since recovered to close on USD 10.00/lb.

First Quantum has commenced work at Ravensthorpe, modifying the crushing, conveying, stockpile and reclaim areas, and will continue work for about the next 12 months, followed by about six months of commissioning and ramp-up.

First Quantum expects Ravensthorpe's average annual production of nickel metal at about 39,000 tonnes for the first five years, after recommencement of operations, and an average annual production of 28,000 tonnes of nickel metal over the expected life of mine of 32 years. The total modification cost is estimated at about USD 150m.

First Quantum is distinguished as one of just a few miners that have kicked off in Africa and expanded outside the continent. The group started mining at Lonshi, just over the DRC border, in August 2001; a 36km laterite road was built to haul ore from Lonshi to Bwana Mkubwa, near Ndola. The Lonshi orebody was mined out during 2008, by which time First Quantum had made it into the major league.

As for the drama in the DRC, the carrying value of the Kolwezi tailings development project, or KMT, is USD 787m, being an initial acquisition cost of USD 388m, and capital expenditures, so far, of USD 399m. In a September 2009 announcement, First Quantum confirmed suspension of work at the 75%-complete Kolwezi tailings project, after it was shuttered by government agents.

On February 1 2010 First Quantum announced commencement of international arbitration by First Quantum and its partners in KMT, under the facilities of the International Chamber of Commerce, International Court of Arbitration, in Paris.

First Quantum

 

 

 

 

 

USD m

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Operating cash flow

562.6

765.4

540.0

512.0

201.8

Capital expenditure

-361.8

-460.3

-319.6

-302.1

-186.7

Other (net)

-4.8

-304.7

-283.2

-61.6

21.9

Net

196.0

0.4

-62.8

148.3

37.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

Free cash flow

 

 

 

 

 

Operating cash flow

562.6

765.4

540.0

512.0

201.8

Capital expenditure

-361.8

-460.3

-319.6

-302.1

-186.7

Free cash flow

200.8

305.1

220.4

209.9

15.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt (raised) repaid

-279.7

-18.2

-69.3

-55.5

-28.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity raised

279.1

5.0

11.5

3.5

2.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash on hand

919.2

176.2

200.0

249.5

82.9

Debt

-630.0

-385.7

-360.8

-294.9

-236.1

Net debt

289.2

-209.5

-160.8

-45.4

-153.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends

-5.8

-53.0

-51.7

-20.2

-4.0

 

Selected copper stocks

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

Freeport-McMoRan

USD 82.18

-9.2%

139.2%

35.384

Southern Copper

USD 31.51

-14.8%

110.1%

26.784

Antofagasta

GBP 10.20

-3.2%

126.3%

15.241

KGHM Polska Miedź

PLN 101.80

-8.6%

139.5%

7.201

Jiangxi Copper

CNY 34.04

-33.4%

111.3%

8.155

Sterlite

USD 18.14

-9.8%

234.7%

15.243

Yunnan Copper

CNY 24.86

-35.7%

87.9%

4.577

Tongling

CNY 18.01

-31.3%

89.6%

3.415

First Quantum

CAD 90.30

-10.0%

177.8%

7.156

Equinox

CAD 3.85

-17.9%

146.8%

2.682

Philex

PHP 13.25

-33.8%

212.5%

1.423

Nautilus Minerals

CAD 2.14

-22.5%

111.9%

0.328

Katanga Mining

CAD 0.75

-39.2%

236.8%

1.409

Quadra

CAD 17.49

-5.8%

315.4%

1.714

Pan Australian

AUD 0.52

-20.0%

197.1%

1.394

Metorex

ZAR 4.20

-24.3%

228.1%

0.428

Palamin

ZAR 109.90

-4.4%

138.9%

0.720

Mercator

CAD 2.81

-18.8%

510.9%

0.539

Anvil

CAD 4.04

-4.5%

386.7%

0.598

Northern Dynasty

CAD 9.50

-7.6%

59.1%

0.873

Taseko

CAD 5.19

-11.1%

359.3%

0.940

Aditya Birla

AUD 0.93

-43.6%

708.7%

0.266

Corriente

CAD 8.51

-0.6%

71.9%

0.631

Fronteer

CAD 5.13

-10.8%

108.5%

0.605

CuDeco

AUD 4.68

-29.0%

153.0%

0.587

Chariot

CAD 0.65

-1.5%

364.3%

0.234

Baja Mining

CAD 0.77

-20.6%

234.8%

0.109

Activex

AUD 0.08

-35.8%

67.4%

0.006

Terrane

CAD 1.11

-43.9%

516.7%

0.140

Hillgrove Resources

AUD 0.37

-28.8%

236.4%

0.163

Havilah Resources

AUD 0.42

-40.8%

35.5%

0.031

Globestar Mining

CAD 1.08

-10.0%

120.4%

0.112

Citadel Resource

AUD 0.36

-23.7%

222.7%

0.475

Amerigo

CAD 0.70

-17.6%

145.6%

0.102

New Gold

CAD 4.62

-11.0%

148.4%

1.769

Tiger Resources

AUD 0.25

-21.9%

177.8%

0.093

Candente

CAD 0.46

-20.2%

236.0%

0.036

African Copper

GBP 0.06

-61.3%

757.1%

0.075

Marengo Mining

AUD 0.11

-54.2%

120.0%

0.050

Inca Pacific

CAD 0.20

-54.0%

25.0%

0.011

Exco Resources

AUD 0.24

-31.4%

192.7%

0.111

Coro

CAD 0.53

-27.4%

360.9%

0.047

Discovery Metals

AUD 0.77

-9.5%

446.4%

0.162

Africo

CAD 0.98

-34.2%

84.9%

0.069

Prairie Downs

AUD 0.13

-50.0%

120.3%

0.009

Duluth Metals

CAD 2.31

-42.1%

1148.6%

0.219

Polymet Mining

CAD 2.51

-35.5%

248.6%

0.368

African Eagle

GBP 0.04

-71.0%

61.1%

0.016

El Nino Ventures

CAD 0.08

-54.3%

45.5%

0.005

Seabridge

CAD 22.73

-36.0%

8.7%

0.843

Augusta Resources

USD 2.69

-25.5%

249.4%

0.238

Rambler Metals

GBP 0.35

-8.6%

239.0%

0.031

Norsemont Mining

CAD 2.30

-12.5%

94.9%

0.181

Apoquindo Minerals

CAD 0.82

-25.5%

272.7%

0.041

Capstone Mining

CAD 3.07

-7.0%

119.3%

0.596

Imperial Metals

CAD 16.55

-2.2%

652.3%

0.560

Pacific Booker

CAD 6.75

-20.1%

35.0%

0.076

Nevada Copper

CAD 3.28

-8.1%

1582.1%

0.146

Avanco Resources

AUD 0.03

-43.2%

316.7%

0.012

Finders Resources

AUD 0.20

-20.4%

81.4%

0.034

Polar Star Mining

CAD 1.20

-24.5%

471.4%

0.083

Hana Mining

CAD 1.90

-12.8%

955.6%

0.111

Benguet

PHP 13.50

-26.0%

121.3%

0.028

Continental Minerals

CAD 2.19

-8.0%

461.5%

0.330

Bezant Resources

GBP 0.34

-16.5%

426.9%

0.024

Kobex

CAD 0.93

-20.5%

49.0%

0.048

Cornerstone Capital

CAD 0.13

-35.9%

212.5%

0.010

Thundermin

CAD 0.15

-39.6%

52.6%

0.010

Western Copper

CAD 1.74

-22.7%

443.8%

0.136

Averages/total

 

-16.2%

170.7%

146.244

Weighted averages

 

-15.1%

140.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diversifieds with copper

 

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

BHP Billiton

GBP 21.84

-2.9%

72.5%

204.291

Vale

USD 30.42

-4.8%

135.6%

160.883

Rio Tinto

GBP 36.89

-2.5%

144.7%

131.108

Anglo American

GBP 26.79

-9.6%

148.5%

53.445

Xstrata

GBP 11.58

-11.1%

230.2%

51.561

Norilsk

USD 16.80

-2.4%

211.1%

32.025

Teck

USD 40.68

-2.9%

962.1%

23.585

Vedanta

GBP 27.17

-8.4%

387.8%

11.159

NFC

CNY 13.79

-38.5%

58.3%

1.291

Lundin

CAD 5.13

-2.5%

375.0%

2.928

Kazakhmys

GBP 14.90

-4.7%

403.4%

12.087

Ivanhoe

CAD 16.32

-11.7%

204.5%

6.845

Inmet

CAD 59.19

-24.1%

101.9%

3.270

Northgate

CAD 3.17

-14.3%

124.8%

0.907

Oz Minerals

AUD 1.14

-14.3%

152.2%

3.239

Hindalco

INR 169.55

-5.7%

310.0%

7.116

Mwana Africa

GBP 0.10

-42.3%

230.6%

0.062

EMED Mining

GBP 0.12

-27.0%

217.2%

0.059

Boliden

CAD 13.80

-11.7%

224.7%

3.717

Xinjiang Xinxin

CNY 4.18

-25.0%

120.0%

0.409

Ivanhoe Australia

AUD 3.36

-20.8%

646.7%

0.985

Minera Andes

CAD 0.96

-4.0%

68.4%

0.249

CGA Mining

AUD 2.10

-18.9%

54.4%

0.636

Asia Now

CAD 0.30

-22.4%

268.8%

0.019

Kefi Minerals

GBP 0.02

-42.9%

20.0%

0.006

Iberian Minerals

CAD 0.52

-16.1%

55.2%

0.173

Sandfire Resources

AUD 3.64

-17.1%

6286.0%

0.404

Orocobre

AUD 2.25

-8.2%

845.4%

0.166

Orvana Minerals

CAD 1.12

-8.2%

86.7%

0.127

Straits Resources

AUD 1.29

-40.2%

54.9%

0.301

Highlands Pacific

AUD 0.26

-37.0%

372.2%

0.154

Kagara

AUD 0.83

-37.1%

233.3%

0.512

Averages/total

 

-16.9%

431.5%

713.719

Weighted averages

 

-5.1%

133.2%

 

* 12-month

 

 

 

 

Source: market data; table compiled by Barry Sergeant

 

 

 

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