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GOLD ANALYSIS |
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PLATINUM GROUP METALS |
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INDUSTRIAL METALS |
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WHAT'S NEW |
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GOLD NEWS |
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DIAMONDS & GEMS |
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POLITICAL ECONOMY |
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JUNIOR MINING |
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MINING FINANCE |
Record copper and gold production, as the group continues to expand, also outside Africa, and into serious nickel production from 2012.
Author: Barry SergeantJOHANNESBURG -
First Quantum, the African copper-gold miner, now expanding into nickel beyond the continent, reported a sharp turnaround in its fortunes for 2009, bar the debacle at Kolwezi tailings in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which appears to have turned into a farce of international proportions.
Jungle tragedy and comedy aside, First Quantum produced 374,000 tonnes of copper in 2009, and is anticipating 385,000 tonnes this year. Gold production for 2009 was 193,000 ounces, with 240,000 ounces anticipated this year.
First Quantum's group copper production has grown from 29,500 tonnes in 2003, all from Bwana (Zambia) and Lonshi (just across the border in the DRC). Group gold production started out at a modest 14,300 ounces in 2005. The group owns and operates 80% of the Kansanshi copper-gold mine in Zambia ("a foundation asset"), 95% of Frontier in the DRC, and 80% of the Guelb Moghrein gold-copper mine in Mauritania.
First Quantum is expanding in Africa, and also moving offshore. On 23 November 2009, First Quantum announced it would acquire London-listed Kiwara for USD 260m, mainly for its controlling interest in mineral prospecting licence 267, covering 2,850 km² on the periphery of the Kabombo Dome in Zambia.
On 30 November, First Quantum announced the go ahead for its Kevitsa, Finland project, with a capital cost of USD 400m and first production anticipated for 2012. The mine will produce a cocktail of concentrates, with metals that include copper and gold, led by nickel.
On 8 December First Quantum announced the USD 340m acquisition of Ravensthorpe, Australia from BHP Billiton. Ravensthorpe, approved in March 2004, was built at a cost of USD 2.1bn but operations were suspended in January 2009, following the precipitous decline in nickel prices, long among the most volatile of any commodity. From highs close to USD 25.00/lb in 2007, nickel fell to nearly USD 4.00/lb, and has since recovered to close on USD 10.00/lb.
First Quantum has commenced work at Ravensthorpe, modifying the crushing, conveying, stockpile and reclaim areas, and will continue work for about the next 12 months, followed by about six months of commissioning and ramp-up.
First Quantum expects Ravensthorpe's average annual production of nickel metal at about 39,000 tonnes for the first five years, after recommencement of operations, and an average annual production of 28,000 tonnes of nickel metal over the expected life of mine of 32 years. The total modification cost is estimated at about USD 150m.
First Quantum is distinguished as one of just a few miners that have kicked off in Africa and expanded outside the continent. The group started mining at Lonshi, just over the DRC border, in August 2001; a 36km laterite road was built to haul ore from Lonshi to Bwana Mkubwa, near Ndola. The Lonshi orebody was mined out during 2008, by which time First Quantum had made it into the major league.
As for the drama in the DRC, the carrying value of the Kolwezi tailings development project, or KMT, is USD 787m, being an initial acquisition cost of USD 388m, and capital expenditures, so far, of USD 399m. In a September 2009 announcement, First Quantum confirmed suspension of work at the 75%-complete Kolwezi tailings project, after it was shuttered by government agents.
On February 1 2010 First Quantum announced commencement of international arbitration by First Quantum and its partners in KMT, under the facilities of the International Chamber of Commerce, International Court of Arbitration, in Paris.
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USD m |
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
2005 |
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Operating cash flow |
765.4 |
540.0 |
512.0 |
201.8 |
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Capital expenditure |
-361.8 |
-460.3 |
-319.6 |
-302.1 |
-186.7 |
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Other (net) |
-4.8 |
-304.7 |
-283.2 |
-61.6 |
21.9 |
|
Net |
196.0 |
0.4 |
-62.8 |
148.3 |
37.0 |
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Free cash flow |
|
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|
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Operating cash flow |
562.6 |
765.4 |
540.0 |
512.0 |
201.8 |
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Capital expenditure |
-361.8 |
-460.3 |
-319.6 |
-302.1 |
-186.7 |
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Free cash flow |
200.8 |
305.1 |
220.4 |
209.9 |
15.1 |
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Debt (raised) repaid |
-279.7 |
-18.2 |
-69.3 |
-55.5 |
-28.2 |
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Equity raised |
279.1 |
5.0 |
11.5 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
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Cash on hand |
919.2 |
176.2 |
200.0 |
249.5 |
82.9 |
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Debt |
-630.0 |
-385.7 |
-360.8 |
-294.9 |
-236.1 |
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Net debt |
289.2 |
-209.5 |
-160.8 |
-45.4 |
-153.2 |
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Dividends |
-5.8 |
-53.0 |
-51.7 |
-20.2 |
-4.0 |
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Selected copper stocks |
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Stock |
From |
From |
Value |
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|
price |
high* |
low* |
USD bn |
|
|
USD 82.18 |
-9.2% |
139.2% |
35.384 |
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USD 31.51 |
-14.8% |
110.1% |
26.784 |
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GBP 10.20 |
-3.2% |
126.3% |
15.241 |
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PLN 101.80 |
-8.6% |
139.5% |
7.201 |
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CNY 34.04 |
-33.4% |
111.3% |
8.155 |
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USD 18.14 |
-9.8% |
234.7% |
15.243 |
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CNY 24.86 |
-35.7% |
87.9% |
4.577 |
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CNY 18.01 |
-31.3% |
89.6% |
3.415 |
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CAD 90.30 |
-10.0% |
177.8% |
7.156 |
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CAD 3.85 |
-17.9% |
146.8% |
2.682 |
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PHP 13.25 |
-33.8% |
212.5% |
1.423 |
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CAD 2.14 |
-22.5% |
111.9% |
0.328 |
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CAD 0.75 |
-39.2% |
236.8% |
1.409 |
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CAD 17.49 |
-5.8% |
315.4% |
1.714 |
||
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AUD 0.52 |
-20.0% |
197.1% |
1.394 |
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ZAR 4.20 |
-24.3% |
228.1% |
0.428 |
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ZAR 109.90 |
-4.4% |
138.9% |
0.720 |
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CAD 2.81 |
-18.8% |
510.9% |
0.539 |
||
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CAD 4.04 |
-4.5% |
386.7% |
0.598 |
||
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CAD 9.50 |
-7.6% |
59.1% |
0.873 |
||
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CAD 5.19 |
-11.1% |
359.3% |
0.940 |
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AUD 0.93 |
-43.6% |
708.7% |
0.266 |
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CAD 8.51 |
-0.6% |
71.9% |
0.631 |
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CAD 5.13 |
-10.8% |
108.5% |
0.605 |
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AUD 4.68 |
-29.0% |
153.0% |
0.587 |
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CAD 0.65 |
-1.5% |
364.3% |
0.234 |
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CAD 0.77 |
-20.6% |
234.8% |
0.109 |
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AUD 0.08 |
-35.8% |
67.4% |
0.006 |
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CAD 1.11 |
-43.9% |
516.7% |
0.140 |
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AUD 0.37 |
-28.8% |
236.4% |
0.163 |
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AUD 0.42 |
-40.8% |
35.5% |
0.031 |
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CAD 1.08 |
-10.0% |
120.4% |
0.112 |
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AUD 0.36 |
-23.7% |
222.7% |
0.475 |
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CAD 0.70 |
-17.6% |
145.6% |
0.102 |
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CAD 4.62 |
-11.0% |
148.4% |
1.769 |
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AUD 0.25 |
-21.9% |
177.8% |
0.093 |
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CAD 0.46 |
-20.2% |
236.0% |
0.036 |
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GBP 0.06 |
-61.3% |
757.1% |
0.075 |
||
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AUD 0.11 |
-54.2% |
120.0% |
0.050 |
||
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CAD 0.20 |
-54.0% |
25.0% |
0.011 |
||
|
AUD 0.24 |
-31.4% |
192.7% |
0.111 |
||
|
CAD 0.53 |
-27.4% |
360.9% |
0.047 |
||
|
AUD 0.77 |
-9.5% |
446.4% |
0.162 |
||
|
CAD 0.98 |
-34.2% |
84.9% |
0.069 |
||
|
AUD 0.13 |
-50.0% |
120.3% |
0.009 |
||
|
CAD 2.31 |
-42.1% |
1148.6% |
0.219 |
||
|
CAD 2.51 |
-35.5% |
248.6% |
0.368 |
||
|
GBP 0.04 |
-71.0% |
61.1% |
0.016 |
||
|
CAD 0.08 |
-54.3% |
45.5% |
0.005 |
||
|
CAD 22.73 |
-36.0% |
8.7% |
0.843 |
||
|
USD 2.69 |
-25.5% |
249.4% |
0.238 |
||
|
GBP 0.35 |
-8.6% |
239.0% |
0.031 |
||
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CAD 2.30 |
-12.5% |
94.9% |
0.181 |
||
|
CAD 0.82 |
-25.5% |
272.7% |
0.041 |
||
|
CAD 3.07 |
-7.0% |
119.3% |
0.596 |
||
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CAD 16.55 |
-2.2% |
652.3% |
0.560 |
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CAD 6.75 |
-20.1% |
35.0% |
0.076 |
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CAD 3.28 |
-8.1% |
1582.1% |
0.146 |
||
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AUD 0.03 |
-43.2% |
316.7% |
0.012 |
||
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AUD 0.20 |
-20.4% |
81.4% |
0.034 |
||
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CAD 1.20 |
-24.5% |
471.4% |
0.083 |
||
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CAD 1.90 |
-12.8% |
955.6% |
0.111 |
||
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PHP 13.50 |
-26.0% |
121.3% |
0.028 |
||
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CAD 2.19 |
-8.0% |
461.5% |
0.330 |
||
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GBP 0.34 |
-16.5% |
426.9% |
0.024 |
||
|
CAD 0.93 |
-20.5% |
49.0% |
0.048 |
||
|
CAD 0.13 |
-35.9% |
212.5% |
0.010 |
||
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CAD 0.15 |
-39.6% |
52.6% |
0.010 |
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CAD 1.74 |
-22.7% |
443.8% |
0.136 |
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Averages/total |
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-16.2% |
170.7% |
146.244 |
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Weighted averages |
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-15.1% |
140.3% |
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Diversifieds with copper |
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Stock |
From |
From |
Value |
|
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|
price |
high* |
low* |
USD bn |
|
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GBP 21.84 |
-2.9% |
72.5% |
204.291 |
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USD 30.42 |
-4.8% |
135.6% |
160.883 |
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GBP 36.89 |
-2.5% |
144.7% |
131.108 |
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GBP 26.79 |
-9.6% |
148.5% |
53.445 |
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GBP 11.58 |
-11.1% |
230.2% |
51.561 |
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USD 16.80 |
-2.4% |
211.1% |
32.025 |
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USD 40.68 |
-2.9% |
962.1% |
23.585 |
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GBP 27.17 |
-8.4% |
387.8% |
11.159 |
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CNY 13.79 |
-38.5% |
58.3% |
1.291 |
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CAD 5.13 |
-2.5% |
375.0% |
2.928 |
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GBP 14.90 |
-4.7% |
403.4% |
12.087 |
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CAD 16.32 |
-11.7% |
204.5% |
6.845 |
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CAD 59.19 |
-24.1% |
101.9% |
3.270 |
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CAD 3.17 |
-14.3% |
124.8% |
0.907 |
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AUD 1.14 |
-14.3% |
152.2% |
3.239 |
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INR 169.55 |
-5.7% |
310.0% |
7.116 |
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GBP 0.10 |
-42.3% |
230.6% |
0.062 |
||
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GBP 0.12 |
-27.0% |
217.2% |
0.059 |
||
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CAD 13.80 |
-11.7% |
224.7% |
3.717 |
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CNY 4.18 |
-25.0% |
120.0% |
0.409 |
||
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AUD 3.36 |
-20.8% |
646.7% |
0.985 |
||
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CAD 0.96 |
-4.0% |
68.4% |
0.249 |
||
|
AUD 2.10 |
-18.9% |
54.4% |
0.636 |
||
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CAD 0.30 |
-22.4% |
268.8% |
0.019 |
||
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GBP 0.02 |
-42.9% |
20.0% |
0.006 |
||
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CAD 0.52 |
-16.1% |
55.2% |
0.173 |
||
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AUD 3.64 |
-17.1% |
6286.0% |
0.404 |
||
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AUD 2.25 |
-8.2% |
845.4% |
0.166 |
||
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CAD 1.12 |
-8.2% |
86.7% |
0.127 |
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AUD 1.29 |
-40.2% |
54.9% |
0.301 |
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AUD 0.26 |
-37.0% |
372.2% |
0.154 |
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AUD 0.83 |
-37.1% |
233.3% |
0.512 |
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Averages/total |
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-16.9% |
431.5% |
713.719 |
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Weighted averages |
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-5.1% |
133.2% |
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* 12-month |
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Source: market data; table compiled by Barry Sergeant |
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MINEWEB is an interactive publication, with rolling deadlines through each day, commencing in the Sydney morning, and concluding, 24 hours later, in the Vancouver evening. If you believe your side of an issue deserves inclusion, but has failed to meet one of our deadlines, you are invited to notify the Editor in Chief in Johannesburg, and we will include you in our editing and expanding on our stories. Email him at alechogg@gmail.com
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